After the great success that the Ethiopians have achieved today in Nairobi, with vigorous and strong steps and without retreating towards peace, the next step is to expel the Eritrean forces from Ethiopia, because the parties to the Ethiopian conflict, the African Union and the international partners all know that peace will not be achieved and hostilities cease in Ethiopia in the presence of these forces. .
The United States is leading great efforts to expel Eritrean forces. Two days ago, the US State Department issued a strongly worded statement criticizing Eritrea’s roles in threatening the stability of the Horn of Africa and aborting and spoiling Ethiopia’s peace efforts.
Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki, who has a complex, complex and divided personality, has been president of Eritrea for thirty years and if he were interested in the economy, he could have placed Eritrea in the ranks of the Gulf countries. It has natural coasts It is amazing if a tourist infrastructure has been established for the influx of European tourists, as there are iron ore, gold, silver, etc. in Eritrea.
But he is not a statesman who is good at dealing with politics and diplomacy. His psychopathic personality pushes him to engage in violence, force and conspiracy. Therefore, while he is at the head of the state, he does not think as a head of state. Rather, his behavior and behavior in managing the state are in line with the behavior of gang leaders with their opponents.
n a border dispute, he entered the 1998 war and lost it, and another conflict in Djibouti, and supports the youth in Somalia, etc… He lost the last two rounds of the war in Ethiopia, and his forces are besieged and at the mercy of Al-Taqari.
At the height of the wars of the previous era in the south, Darfur, the Blue Nile and the Nuba Mountains, Isaias tried to exploit the Bashir regime, which is busy with its internal wars by interfering in the internal affairs of Sudan, and Bashir went to Asmara to participate in the independence celebrations in 2017, but the real goal was to send a strong warning to Isaias and said to him: We brought the oppositionChadian Presidential Palace in N’Djamena in one day, and we will reach Asmara in eight hours) and Hemeti repeated to him after the revolution the same warning, reminding him of Al-Bashir’s warning.
The management of the state’s international relations depends on diplomacy, negotiation on contentious issues and working to find solutions to them, but not on personal grudges, hatred, spreading instability and resorting to force, which the Eritrean regime often pursued and lacks.
Despite the hostility between Egypt and Ethiopia over the Renaissance Dam and the mutual threatening campaigns between the flags of the two countries, Abi Ahmed comfortably went to the Sharm el-Sheikh conference, declaring a new orientation for Ethiopia.
lso, despite the fact that some of the lands of Fashaqa, albeit very limited, are still under the control of Ethiopia, and despite the tension in the relations of Sudan and Ethiopia due to the border dispute and the two armies clashing several times in major battles, Lieutenant-General Al-Burhan accepted the invitation of the Ethiopian presidency to the Bahir Dar Forum and did not boycott it because he is a statesman, and he has multiple institutions that manage foreign policy for Sudan.
The Eritrean regime is a fragile and weak system, and several circumstances have contributed to its continuity and survival throughout those years. And his strength was only in the displacement of half of his people to an ethnicity that topped the political scene of Eritrea, raising the slogan of independence for Eritrea. Its strength also derives from the weakness and fragmentation of the national opposition and its lack of unity in a comprehensive national project that transcends ethnic, regional and intellectual differences.
The Eritrean military intervention in Ethiopia made it in the eye of the storm and in the face of African countries and the West, and he will not be able to confront it, even if it is true that Abi Ahmed is using the Eritrean military presence as a pressure card against the Gulf Cooperation Council. The United States, as stated by Mike Hammer, the US envoy to the Horn of Africa, is working hard to get the Eritrean forces out of Ethiopia.
Russia, mired in Ukraine and China, can prevent any resolution condemning Eritrea, but they will not be able to prevent the expulsion of Eritrean forces. It applies to Isaias Afwerki, who is seventy-five years old, the Sudanese proverb (the settlement is with your hands, your skills will prevail).
Abdulqader_Ali_Al-Haimi, 12 November 2022
